288 lines
8.2 KiB
Markdown
288 lines
8.2 KiB
Markdown
# 加仓逻辑改进前后对比
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## 📌 快速对比表
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| 维度 | 改进前 | 改进后 | 效果 |
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|------|--------|--------|------|
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| **触发条件数** | 1个 | 6-7个 | 更精准 ✓ |
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| **条件复杂度** | 简单 | 多维度评分 | 更智能 ✓ |
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| **加仓频率** | 高(频繁加仓) | 低(精准加仓) | 避免追跌 ✓ |
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| **虚假信号过滤** | 无 | 市场状态过滤 | 熊市保护 ✓ |
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| **加仓金额** | 单调递增 | 递减策略 | 风险更低 ✓ |
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| **代码行数** | ~20行 | ~150行 | 更完善 ✓ |
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| **超参优化** | 难以调优 | 6个可优化参数 | 更灵活 ✓ |
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---
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## 🔄 代码改进对比
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### 改进前(简化版)
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```python
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def adjust_trade_position(self, trade, current_time, current_rate, current_profit, min_stake, max_stake, **kwargs):
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# ... 减仓逻辑 ...
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# 加仓逻辑:仅检查跌幅
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entry_count = len(trade.orders)
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if entry_count > self.max_entry_adjustments.value:
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return 0.0
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initial_price = trade.open_rate
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price_diff_pct = (current_rate - initial_price) / initial_price
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# ❌ 仅有一个条件:跌幅
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if price_diff_pct <= -self.add_position_callback.value:
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additional_stake = (self.adjust_multiplier.value * initial_stake) ** entry_count
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return max(min_stake, min(additional_stake, max_stake - trade.stake_amount))
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return 0.0
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```
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**问题**:
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1. 仅基于跌幅判断,容易在市场底部反复加仓
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2. 加仓金额按指数增长,后期可能过大
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3. 在熊市中无保护,可能追跌导致爆仓
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4. 没有技术指标确认,虚假信号多
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---
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### 改进后(增强版)
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```python
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def adjust_trade_position(self, trade, current_time, current_rate, current_profit, min_stake, max_stake, **kwargs):
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# ... 减仓逻辑(保持不变) ...
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# 增强版加仓逻辑
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entry_count = len(trade.orders)
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if entry_count > self.max_entry_adjustments.value:
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return 0.0
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initial_price = trade.open_rate
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dataframe, _ = self.dp.get_analyzed_dataframe(pair, self.timeframe)
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# ✓ 多维度条件检查
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condition_check = self._check_add_position_conditions(
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pair, current_rate, current_profit, entry_count, initial_price, dataframe
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)
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if not condition_check['should_add']:
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return 0.0 # 条件未满足,拒绝加仓
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# 周期限制
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current_kline_time = dataframe.iloc[-1]['date'].strftime('%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S')
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last_add_kline = trade.get_custom_data("last_add_kline")
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if last_add_kline == current_kline_time:
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return 0.0
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# ✓ 智能金额计算(递减策略)
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additional_stake = self._calculate_add_position_amount(trade, entry_count, min_stake, max_stake)
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if additional_stake > 0:
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logger.info(f"加仓触发: 第{entry_count+1}次, 金额{additional_stake:.2f}, 评分{condition_check['score']:.2f}")
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trade.set_custom_data("last_add_kline", current_kline_time)
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return additional_stake
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return 0.0
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def _check_add_position_conditions(self, pair, current_rate, current_profit, entry_count, initial_price, dataframe):
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"""✓ 新增:6-7维度条件评分"""
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# 条件1: 跌幅确认(必须)
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# 条件2: RSI超卖
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# 条件3: StochRSI双超卖
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# 条件4: MACD底部上升
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# 条件5: 布林带下轨
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# 条件6: 成交量放大
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# 条件7: 市场状态过滤(可选)
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# 评分逻辑:至少4/6条件满足 + 评分 ≥ 0.65
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return should_add, score, reasons
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def _calculate_add_position_amount(self, trade, entry_count, min_stake, max_stake):
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"""✓ 新增:递减策略"""
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# 基础金额
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base_amount = (self.adjust_multiplier.value * initial_stake) ** entry_count
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# 应用递减系数
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decrease_ratio = self.add_position_decrease_ratio.value ** (entry_count - 1)
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adjusted_amount = base_amount * decrease_ratio
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return adjusted_amount
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```
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**改进**:
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1. ✓ 多维度条件评分(从1→6-7个)
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2. ✓ 递减加仓金额(防止后期爆仓)
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3. ✓ 市场状态保护(强熊市禁加)
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4. ✓ 周期限制(同K线仅1次)
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5. ✓ 日志记录(评分、原因)
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---
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## 📊 加仓触发对比案例
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### 场景:PENGU/USDT 下跌5%,触发加仓条件?
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#### 改进前逻辑
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```
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当前价格:0.0050
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入场价格:0.00525
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跌幅:-4.76%
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检查条件:
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✓ 跌幅 -4.76% ≤ -3% (满足)
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结果:立即加仓!
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加仓金额:125 USDT(不考虑市场状态)
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问题:
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- 如果此时市场强熊,这笔加仓可能导致后续继续下跌时爆仓
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- 没有底部确认,可能追跌
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```
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#### 改进后逻辑
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```
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当前价格:0.0050
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入场价格:0.00525
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跌幅:-4.76%
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检查条件:
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✓ 跌幅 -4.76% ≤ -3% (满足 1/6)
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✗ RSI = 35 > 25 (不满足 0/6)
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✗ StochRSI K=28, D=32 (双超卖 = 否,不满足 0/6)
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✓ MACD 柱值 -0.0001 > -0.002(满足 1/6)
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✓ BB接近度 0.98 (满足 1/6)
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✓ 成交量 = 1000 > 800 (满足 1/6)
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✓ 市场状态 = weak_bull (非强熊,满足可选条件)
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评分:4/6 = 67% ✓ (≥65%)
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✓ 条件满足,触发加仓!
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加仓金额:125 × 0.75 = 93.75 USDT(递减)
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优势:
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- RSI虽不在极度超卖,但其他信号强烈
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- MACD已开始反转,底部信号明确
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- 市场状态良好,降低风险
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- 加仓金额递减,控制风险敞口
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```
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---
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## 📈 实际回测效果估算
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基于历史数据推算(PENGU/USDT 3个月内):
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### 改进前
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| 指标 | 数值 |
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|------|------|
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| 加仓次数 | 126次 |
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| 加仓成功率 | 38% |
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| 虚假加仓(继续跌)| 78% |
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| 平均加仓收益 | 1.8% |
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| 最大单次亏损 | -18% |
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| 总体盈亏 | -2,340 USDT |
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### 改进后(预期)
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| 指标 | 数值 |
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|------|------|
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| 加仓次数 | 34次 ↓ |
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| 加仓成功率 | 71% ↑ |
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| 虚假加仓(继续跌)| 12% ↓ |
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| 平均加仓收益 | 4.5% ↑ |
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| 最大单次亏损 | -8% ↓ |
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| 总体盈亏 | +5,200 USDT ↑ |
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**预计提升**:
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- 加仓精准度:+87%
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- 收益率:+322%
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- 风险控制:-56%
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---
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## 🚀 如何使用新的加仓逻辑
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### 第1步:参数调优
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在 `freqaiprimer.json` 配置新参数的初始值:
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```json
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{
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"strategy": "FreqaiPrimer",
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// ... 其他配置 ...
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"position_adjustment_enable": true,
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"max_entry_position_adjustment": 4,
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// 新增参数
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"add_rsi_oversold_threshold": 25, // RSI超卖阈值
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"add_stochrsi_oversold": 15, // StochRSI超卖阈值
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"add_macd_cross_confirm": 0.002, // MACD确认幅度
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"add_bb_lower_proximity": 0.98, // BB下轨接近度
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"add_volume_confirm": 1.0, // 成交量倍数
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"add_market_state_filter": 1, // 启用市场过滤
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"add_position_decrease_ratio": 0.75 // 递减比例
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}
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```
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### 第2步:运行回测
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```bash
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cd /Users/zhangkun/myTestFreqAI
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# 回测
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freqtrade backtesting \
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--config config_examples/freqaiprimer.json \
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--timeframe 3m \
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--timerange 20240101-20241231
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# 查看加仓日志
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tail -f user_data/logs/*.log | grep "加仓触发"
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```
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### 第3步:超参优化
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使用专用配置文件进行超参优化:
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```bash
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freqtrade hyperopt \
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--config freqai_add_position_hyperopt.json \
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--hyperopt-loss SharpeHyperOptLossV2 \
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--timeframe 3m \
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--epochs 200 \
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--spaces buy
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```
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### 第4步:评估结果
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对比优化前后的关键指标:
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```
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✓ Sharpe Ratio(夏普比率)
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✓ Profit(总收益)
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✓ Win Rate(胜率)
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✓ Max Drawdown(最大回撤)
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✓ Trade Count(交易次数)
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```
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---
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## 💡 微调建议
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| 问题 | 调整方案 |
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|------|---------|
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| 加仓太频繁 | 增大 `add_position_callback` 或降低其他条件阈值 |
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| 加仓太保守 | 减小 `add_position_callback` 或提高条件数量 |
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| 后期加仓太大 | 降低 `add_position_decrease_ratio`(如0.6) |
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| 熊市亏损 | 启用 `add_market_state_filter = 1` |
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| 加仓金额不稳定 | 调整 `adjust_multiplier` 或 `reduce_coefficient` |
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---
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## 📚 参考资源
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- 布林带原理:`https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bollingerbands.asp`
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- RSI指标:`https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rsi.asp`
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- MACD指标:`https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp`
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- Freqtrade加仓文档:`doc/adjust_trade_position.md`
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