XGBoostRegressorMultiTarget
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- Datetime: 2025-06-03 02:21:39
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- Model: _qwen3/qwen-plus-latest
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- Selected files:
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.py
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- result/analytic.log
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.meta.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_config.json
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- result/backtest_trades.csv
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- result/output.log
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> 当前策略的配置,代码,执行结果都在上下文中, 结合官方文档, 请给出对于执行结果的评价以及修改建议
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>
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> 自定义策略: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/strategy-customization/
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> freqai 特征工程 : https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-feature-engineering/
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> freqai 参数表: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-parameter-table/
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> freqai 配置: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-configuration/
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> freaai 运行: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-running/
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> freqai 开发手册: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-developers/
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> freqtrade 策略例子: https://github.com/freqtrade/freqtrade/tree/develop/freqtrade/templates
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> freqtrade 优化: https://github.com/freqtrade/freqtrade/tree/develop/freqtrade/optimize
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> freqai 超参数优化: https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/hyperopt/
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>
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>
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# 策略执行结果分析与优化建议
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## 一、执行结果关键指标分析
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### 总体表现
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- 总交易次数：8次
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- 盈利交易：4次 (50%胜率)
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- 总利润：8.87 USDT (+0.89%)
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- 平均持仓时间：21分钟
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- 最大连续亏损：2次
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- 利润因子：2.15
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### 分币种表现
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| 币种 | 交易次数 | 平均利润 | 胜率 |
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|------------|----------|----------|--------|
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| KAITO/USDT | 4 | +0.77% | 50% |
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| TRUMP/USDT | 3 | +0.95% | 66.7% |
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| WCT/USDT | 1 | 0% | 0% |
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### 分退出原因表现
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| 原因 | 交易次数 | 平均利润 | 胜率 |
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|-------------|----------|----------|--------|
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| ROI | 7 | +1.58% | 100% |
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| 止损 | 1 | -5.15% | 0% |
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## 二、策略配置分析
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### 1. FreqAI配置
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```json
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"freqai": {
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"enabled": true,
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"data_kitchen": {"fillna": "ffill"},
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"freqaimodel": "LightGBMMultiTargetRegressor",
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"purge_old_models": 2,
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"identifier": "test58",
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"train_period_days": 7,
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"backtest_period_days": 1,
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"live_retrain_hours": 2,
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"outlier_detection": {"method": "IsolationForest", "contamination": 0.1},
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"feature_selection": {"method": "recursive_elimination"},
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"feature_parameters": {
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"include_timeframes": ["3m","15m","1h"],
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"include_corr_pairlist": ["BTC/USDT","SOL/USDT"],
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"outlier_protection_percentage": 0.1,
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"label_period_candles": 24,
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"include_shifted_candles": 3,
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"DI_threshold": 0.7,
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"weight_factor": 0.9,
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"principal_component_analysis": false,
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"use_SVM_to_remove_outliers": true,
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"indicator_periods_candles": [10,20,50],
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"plot_feature_importances": 10
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},
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"data_split_parameters": {"test_size": 0.2, "shuffle": false},
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"model_training_parameters": {
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"n_estimators": 120,
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"learning_rate": 0.05,
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"num_leaves": 31,
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"verbose": -1,
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"max_depth": 8
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}
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}
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```
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### 2. 策略参数
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```python
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minimal_roi = {
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"0": 0.02,
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"30": 0.01,
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"60": 0
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}
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stoploss = -0.015
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trailing_stop = True
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trailing_stop_positive = 0.053
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trailing_stop_positive_offset = 0.152
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```
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## 三、执行结果评价
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### 1. 优势
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- **快速交易特性**：平均持仓时间仅21分钟，适合高频交易
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- **ROI设置合理**：最终盈利交易都实现了正收益
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- **止损机制有效**：唯一亏损交易及时止损(-5.15%)
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### 2. 存在的问题
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- **交易机会少**：整个回测期间仅有8次交易，交易频率过低
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- **过度依赖FreqAI预测**：当`&-price_value_divergence`缺失时，策略几乎无法产生信号
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- **动态阈值调整不足**：虽然有labels_mean和labels_std的动态计算，但实际买卖点分布较集中
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- **特征工程冗余**：生成了大量技术指标，但很多未被使用
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- **日志记录过多**：DEBUG级别日志可能影响性能
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- **自定义价格机制效果有限**：买入价降低0.5%、卖出价提高0.25%，对整体收益贡献较小
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## 四、优化建议
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### 1. 提高交易频率
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- 缩小`fit_live_predictions_candles`从100到50，增加交易机会
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- 降低入场条件门槛：
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```python
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cond2 = (dataframe["volume_z_score"] > 1.0) # 原为1.5
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cond3 = (dataframe["rsi"] < 45) # 原为40
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```
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### 2. 增强入场信号
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- 添加备用信号源，当FreqAI数据不可用时：
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```python
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if "&-price_value_divergence" not in dataframe.columns:
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buy_condition = (dataframe["rsi"] < 30) & (dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["bb_lowerband"])
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logger.warning(f"[{pair}] 使用备用策略: RSI+布林带")
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```
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### 3. 优化动态阈值计算
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- 引入时间衰减因子，使阈值随市场波动自动调节：
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```python
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volatility = dataframe["bb_upperband-period"] / dataframe["bb_lowerband-period"] - 1
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k_volatility = 1 + (volatility.iloc[-1] * 10) # 波动率越高，k值越大
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self.buy_threshold = labels_mean - k_buy * labels_std * k_volatility
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self.sell_threshold = labels_mean + k_sell * labels_std * k_volatility
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```
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### 4. 简化特征工程
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- 移除未使用的指标：
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```python
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# 删除以下未被使用的指标
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del dataframe["%-sma-period"]
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del dataframe["%-mfi-period"]
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del dataframe["%-adx-period"]
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```
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### 5. 改进Trailing Stop逻辑
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- 实现动态追踪止损：
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```python
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def adjust_trade_position(self, trade: Trade, current_time: datetime,
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current_rate: float, current_profit: float,
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min_roi: Dict[float, float], max_profit: float):
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# 动态调整追踪止损参数
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hold_time = (current_time - trade.open_date_utc).total_seconds() / 60
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# 持仓前5分钟使用保守止损
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if hold_time < 5:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.02
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.008
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# 持仓5-15分钟使用激进追涨
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elif hold_time < 15:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.03
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.01
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# 持仓超过15分钟后使用保守追踪
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else:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.015
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.005
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# 剩余代码保持不变...
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```
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### 6. 优化Hyperopt参数空间（用于后续优化）
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```python
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# ROI 参数空间
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def roi_space():
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return [
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Integer(0, 60, name='roi_t1'),
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Integer(30, 120, name='roi_t2'),
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Integer(60, 180, name='roi_t3'),
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Real(0.01, 0.05, name='roi_p1'),
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Real(0.005, 0.03, name='roi_p2'),
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Real(0.0, 0.02, name='roi_p3'),
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]
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# Trailing Stop 参数空间
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def trailing_space():
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return [
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Real(0.01, 0.05, name='trailing_stop_start'),
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Real(0.005, 0.02, name='trailing_stop_distance'),
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]
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```
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### 7. 风险控制增强
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- 添加最大单日亏损限制：
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```python
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def custom_stake_amount(self, pair, current_time, current_rate, proposed_stake, min_stake, max_stake):
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# 计算当日已实现亏损
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daily_loss = sum(trade.calc_profit() for trade in Trade.get_trades()
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if trade.close_date and trade.close_date.date() == current_time.date() and trade.loss)
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if daily_loss < -100: # 当日亏损超过$100停止交易
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return 0
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return proposed_stake * 0.5 # 默认使用50%推荐仓位
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```
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## 五、FreqAI专项优化建议
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### 1. 特征工程优化
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- 根据官方文档[FreqAI特征工程](https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-feature-engineering/)建议：
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```python
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def feature_engineering_expand_all(self, dataframe, period, metadata, **kwargs):
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# 保留核心特征
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dataframe["%-rsi-period"] = ta.RSI(dataframe, timeperiod=period)
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# 添加趋势特征
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dataframe[f"%-sma-period-ratio"] = (dataframe["close"] / ta.SMA(dataframe, timeperiod=period)) - 1
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# 添加波动率特征
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dataframe[f"%-volatility"] = (ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=period) / dataframe["close"])
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# 清理NaN值
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dataframe.fillna(method='ffill', inplace=True)
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dataframe.fillna(0, inplace=True)
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return dataframe
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```
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### 2. 标签(Label)优化
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- 根据[官方建议](https://www.freqtrade.io/en/stable/freqai-parameter-table/)，可以尝试更复杂的标签：
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```python
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def set_freqai_targets(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict, **kwargs) -> DataFrame:
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# 多目标回归
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dataframe["&-target-profit"] = (dataframe["close"].shift(-self.freqai_info["label_period_candles"]) / dataframe["close"]) - 1
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dataframe["&-target-direction"] = np.where(
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dataframe["close"].shift(-self.freqai_info["label_period_candles"]) > dataframe["close"], 1, 0
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)
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# 数据清理
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dataframe.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], 0, inplace=True)
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dataframe.fillna(0, inplace=True)
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return dataframe
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```
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## 六、具体修改建议
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### 1. 修改后的`__init__`方法
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```python
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def __init__(self, config: dict, *args, **kwargs):
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super().__init__(config, *args, **kwargs)
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logger.setLevel(logging.INFO) # 降低默认日志级别
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logger.info("✅ 策略已初始化，日志级别设置为 INFO")
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self.trailing_stop_enabled = False
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self.pair_stats = {}
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self.stats_logged = False
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self.fit_live_predictions_candles = self.freqai_info.get("fit_live_predictions_candles", 50) # 减少到50根K线
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```
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### 2. 修改后的`confirm_trade_entry`方法
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```python
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def confirm_trade_entry(self, pair: str, order_type: str, amount: float, rate: float,
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time_in_force: str, current_time: datetime, **kwargs) -> bool:
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# 在 Hyperopt 或 Dry Run 模式下避免数据库查询
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if 'hyperopt' in self.config.get('runmode', '') or not hasattr(Trade, 'query') or Trade.query is None:
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return True
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# 降低检查窗口到2分钟
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recent_trades = Trade.query.filter(
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Trade.pair == pair,
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Trade.is_open == False, # noqa: E712
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Trade.close_date > current_time - datetime.timedelta(minutes=2)
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).all()
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if len(recent_trades) > 0:
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logger.debug(f"[{pair}] 2分钟内有{len(recent_trades)}笔近期交易，跳过本次入场")
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return False
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self.trailing_stop_enabled = False
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return True
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```
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### 3. 修改后的`adjust_trade_position`方法
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```python
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def adjust_trade_position(self, trade: Trade, current_time: datetime,
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current_rate: float, current_profit: float,
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min_roi: Dict[float, float], max_profit: float):
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hold_time = (current_time - trade.open_date_utc).total_seconds() / 60
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# 动态调整追踪止损
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if hold_time < 5:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.02
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.008
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elif hold_time < 15:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.03
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.01
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else:
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trailing_stop_start = 0.015
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trailing_stop_distance = 0.005
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profit_ratio = (current_rate - trade.open_rate) / trade.open_rate
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if profit_ratio >= trailing_stop_start and not self.trailing_stop_enabled:
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self.trailing_stop_enabled = True
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trade.adjust_max_rate(current_rate)
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logger.info(f"[{trade.pair}] 价格上涨超过 {trailing_stop_start*100:.1f}%，启动 Trailing Stop")
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if self.trailing_stop_enabled:
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max_rate = trade.max_rate
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trailing_stop_price = max_rate * (1 - trailing_stop_distance)
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if current_rate < trailing_stop_price:
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logger.info(f"[{trade.pair}] 价格回落至 Trailing Stop 点 {trailing_stop_price:.6f}，触发卖出")
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return -1
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trade.adjust_max_rate(current_rate)
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# 动态延长最大持仓时间
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if hold_time > 30 and current_profit < 0.005: # 小于0.5%收益时强制平仓
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logger.info(f"[{trade.pair}] 持仓时间超过30分钟且无明显收益，强制平仓")
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return -1
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return None
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```
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## 七、总结
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该策略具有良好的风险控制能力，特别是追踪止损机制有效防止了大幅亏损。然而，策略过于保守导致交易机会较少，且对FreqAI预测结果依赖过高。
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建议优先改进方向：
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1. 增加备用交易信号以应对FreqAI数据缺失情况
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2. 优化特征工程，移除冗余指标
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3. 实施动态仓位管理
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4. 细化追踪止损逻辑，根据持仓时间动态调整参数
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5. 降低最小持仓时间要求，增加交易机会
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下一步建议进行Hyperopt优化，重点优化ROI和追踪止损参数，同时考虑加入更多市场状态判断来动态调整策略行为。
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-------
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- Datetime: 2025-06-03 02:44:15
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- Model: _qwen3/qwen-plus-latest
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- Selected files:
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.py
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- result/analytic.log
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.meta.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.json
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- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_config.json
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- result/backtest_trades.csv
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- result/output.log
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> 实际使用中,本策略往往在某个下跌趋势的过程中给出多个买入信号, 虽然还没有跌入到谷底,但也差的不多, 然后趋势开始反转, 反转之前一些买入已经被止损了, 没被止损的订单,在小幅上升过程中也都roi了, 真正能获利超过1%的并不多
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>
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|
||||
你描述的这个现象非常典型：**策略在下跌趋势末期频繁尝试抄底，但多数交易因止损或小幅盈利退出，真正能捕捉到反转趋势的交易很少**。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 📉 问题本质分析
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 现象总结：
|
||||
- **下跌趋势中频繁给出买入信号**
|
||||
- **部分订单被止损（stop_loss）**
|
||||
- **未止损的订单在小幅反弹后触发 ROI 卖出**
|
||||
- **最终实现超过1%利润的交易很少**
|
||||
|
||||
这说明：
|
||||
|
||||
| 问题类型 | 描述 |
|
||||
|---------|------|
|
||||
| ❌ 过早入场 | 在趋势尚未明确反转时就开始抄底 |
|
||||
| ❌ 止损设置不合理 | 在震荡行情中容易被洗出去 |
|
||||
| ❌ ROI 设置过紧 | 小幅反弹就卖出，错过后续上涨空间 |
|
||||
| ❌ 缺乏趋势过滤机制 | 没有判断当前是下跌、震荡还是上升趋势 |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 🔍 结合你的策略代码和回测结果分析
|
||||
|
||||
从你的原始策略来看：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
buy_condition = (dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] < self.buy_threshold) & \
|
||||
(dataframe["volume_z_score"] > 1.5) & \
|
||||
(dataframe["rsi"] < 40) & \
|
||||
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["bb_lowerband"])
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
这些条件在下跌趋势末端会频繁满足，因为：
|
||||
|
||||
- `&-price_value_divergence` 偏离越来越大
|
||||
- RSI 经常低于 40
|
||||
- 价格经常触及布林带下轨
|
||||
|
||||
所以导致了**频繁抄底失败**。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 🛠️ 改进建议（实战级）
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 1. 添加趋势过滤器（Trend Filter）
|
||||
|
||||
避免在下跌趋势中盲目抄底，只允许在特定趋势中开仓。
|
||||
|
||||
#### 示例：使用 EMA 判断趋势方向
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
|
||||
# ...原有指标计算...
|
||||
|
||||
# 趋势判断
|
||||
dataframe['trend_ema'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
|
||||
dataframe['trend_direction'] = np.where(
|
||||
dataframe['close'] > dataframe['trend_ema'], 'up',
|
||||
np.where(dataframe['close'] < dataframe['trend_ema'], 'down', 'sideways')
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
return dataframe
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
然后在 `populate_entry_trend` 中加入趋势判断：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
if "&-price_value_divergence" in dataframe.columns:
|
||||
buy_condition = (
|
||||
(dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] < self.buy_threshold) &
|
||||
(dataframe["volume_z_score"] > 1.5) &
|
||||
(dataframe["rsi"] < 40) &
|
||||
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["bb_lowerband"]) &
|
||||
(dataframe['trend_direction'] != 'down') # 避免在下降趋势中买入
|
||||
)
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 2. 动态调整止损和ROI（Adaptive Exit）
|
||||
|
||||
不要固定止损和ROI，而是根据市场波动率动态调整。
|
||||
|
||||
#### 示例：基于ATR的动态止损
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
|
||||
# ...其他指标...
|
||||
|
||||
# ATR用于动态止损
|
||||
dataframe['atr'] = ta.ATR(dataframe, timeperiod=14)
|
||||
dataframe['dynamic_stoploss'] = -0.01 - (dataframe['atr'] / dataframe['close']) * 1.5
|
||||
|
||||
return dataframe
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
然后在策略中使用它：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def __init__(self, config: dict, *args, **kwargs):
|
||||
super().__init__(config, *args, **kwargs)
|
||||
self.stoploss = RealParameter(-0.03, -0.01, default=-0.015, space="all")
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
这样可以防止在波动大的时候被轻易止损。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 3. 延迟入场（Delay Entry Until Confirmation）
|
||||
|
||||
不要一满足条件就入场，等待确认信号。
|
||||
|
||||
#### 示例：RSI + MACD 双重确认
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def populate_indicators(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
|
||||
# ...其他指标...
|
||||
dataframe['macd'], dataframe['signal'], _ = ta.MACD(dataframe)
|
||||
dataframe['macd_cross_up'] = (dataframe['macd'] > dataframe['signal']) & \
|
||||
(dataframe['macd'].shift(1) <= dataframe['signal'].shift(1))
|
||||
return dataframe
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
然后修改入场逻辑：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
buy_condition = (
|
||||
(dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] < self.buy_threshold) &
|
||||
(dataframe["volume_z_score"] > 1.5) &
|
||||
(data
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
Error: {
|
||||
exit = 56,
|
||||
message = 'post https://dashscope.aliyuncs.com/compatible-mode/v1/chat/completions - curl error exit_code=56 stderr={ "curl: (56) OpenSSL SSL_read: error:0A000126:SSL routines::unexpected eof while reading, errno 0" }',
|
||||
stderr = '{ "curl: (56) OpenSSL SSL_read: error:0A000126:SSL routines::unexpected eof while reading, errno 0" }'
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
-------
|
||||
|
||||
- Datetime: 2025-06-03 02:45:22
|
||||
|
||||
- Model: _qwen3/qwen-plus-latest
|
||||
|
||||
- Selected files:
|
||||
- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.py
|
||||
- result/analytic.log
|
||||
- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.json
|
||||
- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33.meta.json
|
||||
- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_FreqaiPrimer.json
|
||||
- result/backtest-result-2025-06-03_01-41-33_config.json
|
||||
- result/backtest_trades.csv
|
||||
- result/output.log
|
||||
|
||||
> 输出中断了,请重新输出
|
||||
>
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 3. 延迟入场（Delay Entry Until Confirmation）（续）
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
(dataframe["rsi"] < 40) &
|
||||
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["bb_lowerband"]) &
|
||||
(dataframe['trend_direction'] != 'down') &
|
||||
(dataframe['macd_cross_up']) # MACD金叉作为确认信号
|
||||
)
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
这样可以避免在下跌趋势中过早抄底。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 4. 放宽 ROI 设置，让利润奔跑（Let Profits Run）
|
||||
|
||||
你提到“小幅反弹就ROI了”，说明 ROI 设置太紧。我们可以：
|
||||
|
||||
- **延长 ROI 时间**
|
||||
- **使用动态 ROI**
|
||||
|
||||
#### 示例：基于波动率的动态 ROI
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def generate_roi_table(self, params: Dict) -> Dict[int, float]:
|
||||
base_roi = {
|
||||
"0": params.get('roi_p1', 0.02),
|
||||
"7": params.get('roi_t1', 0.015),
|
||||
"21": params.get('roi_t2', 0.008),
|
||||
"27": 0
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
# 根据市场波动率调整ROI
|
||||
volatility = self.current_volatility # 来自历史ATR或标准差
|
||||
if volatility > 0.02: # 高波动时放宽ROI
|
||||
base_roi["0"] *= 1.5
|
||||
base_roi["7"] *= 1.5
|
||||
|
||||
return base_roi
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
或者直接设置更宽松的默认值：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
minimal_roi = {
|
||||
"0": 0.092,
|
||||
"7": 0.056,
|
||||
"21": 0.024,
|
||||
"27": 0
|
||||
}
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 5. 使用 FreqAI 的预测方向作为过滤器
|
||||
|
||||
既然你已经在用 FreqAI，可以利用它的预测值来判断趋势方向：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
if "&-price_value_divergence" in dataframe.columns:
|
||||
# 只有当预测值开始上升时才允许买入
|
||||
dataframe["prediction_up"] = (dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"].diff() > 0)
|
||||
|
||||
buy_condition = (
|
||||
(dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] < self.buy_threshold) &
|
||||
(dataframe["volume_z_score"] > 1.5) &
|
||||
(dataframe["rsi"] < 40) &
|
||||
(dataframe["close"] <= dataframe["bb_lowerband"]) &
|
||||
(dataframe["prediction_up"])
|
||||
)
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 6. 加入“连续亏损”保护机制
|
||||
|
||||
防止在连续止损后继续交易，建议加入一个冷却期：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def confirm_trade_entry(self, pair: str, order_type: str, amount: float, rate: float,
|
||||
time_in_force: str, current_time: datetime, **kwargs) -> bool:
|
||||
recent_trades = Trade.query.filter(
|
||||
Trade.pair == pair,
|
||||
Trade.is_open == False,
|
||||
Trade.close_date > current_time - datetime.timedelta(minutes=30)
|
||||
).all()
|
||||
|
||||
losing_trades = [t for t in recent_trades if t.calc_profit_ratio(rate) < 0]
|
||||
|
||||
if len(losing_trades) >= 2:
|
||||
logger.info(f"[{pair}] 最近2次交易亏损，暂停入场")
|
||||
return False
|
||||
|
||||
self.trailing_stop_enabled = False
|
||||
return True
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
### ✅ 7. 自定义出场逻辑优化
|
||||
|
||||
目前你的出场逻辑是：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
sell_condition = (dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] > self.sell_threshold) | (dataframe["rsi"] > 75)
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
建议改为**分阶段卖出**，比如：
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
def populate_exit_trend(self, dataframe: DataFrame, metadata: dict) -> DataFrame:
|
||||
if "&-price_value_divergence" in dataframe.columns:
|
||||
# 分阶段退出
|
||||
dataframe.loc[
|
||||
(dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] > self.sell_threshold * 1.2),
|
||||
'exit_long_partial'
|
||||
] = 1 # 先卖一半
|
||||
|
||||
dataframe.loc[
|
||||
(dataframe["&-price_value_divergence"] > self.sell_threshold) |
|
||||
(dataframe["rsi"] > 75),
|
||||
'exit_long_full'
|
||||
] = 1 # 再卖另一半
|
||||
|
||||
return dataframe
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
然后结合 `custom_sell` 实现部分卖出逻辑。
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 📊 总结：策略改进优先级建议
|
||||
|
||||
| 改进点 | 优先级 | 说明 |
|
||||
|--------|--------|------|
|
||||
| ✅ 添加趋势过滤器 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 避免在下降趋势中盲目抄底 |
|
||||
| ✅ 动态止损和ROI | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 提高止损能力，让利润奔跑 |
|
||||
| ✅ 延迟入场确认 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 等待MACD、RSI等指标确认反转 |
|
||||
| ✅ 利用FreqAI预测方向 | ⭐⭐⭐ | 过滤掉预测值仍在下降的信号 |
|
||||
| ✅ 分阶段出场 | ⭐⭐⭐ | 锁定部分利润，保留上涨空间 |
|
||||
| ✅ 连续亏损保护 | ⭐⭐ | 防止连败扩大回撤 |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 🧪 下一步建议
|
||||
|
||||
你可以先从以下两个改动入手，快速验证效果：
|
||||
|
||||
### 🔧 修改1：添加趋势过滤器
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
# 在 populate_indicators 中添加
|
||||
dataframe['trend_ema'] = ta.EMA(dataframe, timeperiod=50)
|
||||
dataframe['in_uptrend'] = dataframe['close'] > dataframe['trend_ema']
|
||||
|
||||
# 在 populate_entry_trend 中添加
|
||||
buy_condition = buy_condition & (dataframe['in_uptrend'])
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
### 🔧 修改2：放宽止损和ROI
|
||||
|
||||
```python
|
||||
minimal_roi = {
|
||||
"0": 0.092,
|
||||
"7": 0.056,
|
||||
"21": 0.024,
|
||||
"27": 0
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
stoploss = -0.05 # 原为 -0.015，提高容忍度
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
如果你希望我帮你生成完整的修改后策略代码文件，我可以直接输出一份**优化后的完整策略文件**供你测试。是否需要？
|
||||
|
||||
@ -37,7 +37,7 @@ hyperopt_config="${STRATEGY_NAME%.py}.json"
|
||||
|
||||
echo "docker-compose run --rm freqtrade backtesting \
|
||||
--logfile /freqtrade/user_data/logs/freqtrade.log \
|
||||
--freqaimodel LightGBMRegressorMultiTarget \
|
||||
--freqaimodel XGBoostRegressorMultiTarget \
|
||||
--config /freqtrade/config_examples/$CONFIG_FILE \
|
||||
--strategy-path /freqtrade/templates \
|
||||
--strategy $STRATEGY_NAME \
|
||||
|
||||
Loading…
x
Reference in New Issue
Block a user